Prosperidad Compartida: Análisis Técnico del Nuevo Modelo de Desarrollo MexicanShared Prosperity: Technical Analysis of Mexico's New Model of Development One Year into Governmento a un Año de Gobierno

Upon completing the first year of the administration of President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, the document "Shared Prosperity" serves as a strategic report of the first cycle (2024-2025) and roadmap toward 2030. It represents the consolidation of an economic doctrine that challenges traditional development models. Central thesis: social justice is not a budget remainder, but a fundamental macroeconomic variable for stability.

Macroeconomic Stability

Inflation stabilized at 3.5% (lowest since 2021). Exchange rate below 19 pesos per dollar. GDP grew 3.2% in 2025, driven by domestic market (70% of GDP). Minimum wage increased 12%, accumulating real recovery greater than 100% compared to 2018. Record FDI of 36 billion dollars in the first half of 2025. Unemployment at 2.7%.

The Social Foundation as Economic Infrastructure

Historical investment of 850 billion pesos benefiting 32 million families. National Care System: recognizes care work (24% of GDP). Female labor participation record of 48%, wage gap reduced to 13%. Reduction of poverty in 5.1 million people between 2018-2022.

Plan México: Reindustrialization

Objective: convert Mexico into the tenth largest economy in the world by 2030. Target of 50% national content by the end of the decade. Public investment in infrastructure exceeded 3.6% of GDP in 2025. Mayan Train (1,554 km), Interoceanic Corridor (8 industrial poles), Center-North trains. Reduction of logistics costs by 25%.

Energy: Sovereignty and Transition

State maintains 54% of electricity generation (CFE), 46% regulated private participation. National Green Hydrogen Plan with 15 billion dollars. LitioMx for critical minerals management. Target: 38-45% clean energy by 2030. Pemex/CFE Investment: 340 billion pesos in 2025.

Comprehensive Security

National Guard: 140,000 elements. Reduction of 18% in property crimes, 22% in domestic violence. Decrease of 10% in high-impact crimes, 7% in premeditated homicides.

Conclusion

The model has demonstrated alignment of market incentives with social needs. Vision 2030: fixed capital investment greater than 28% of GDP, multidimensional poverty below 20%, clean and sovereign energy matrix.